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A Currency Crisis in Europe? - The Europe's Common Currency and the New Accession Countries - AgEcon
Krawczyk, Mariusz K..
The politically and legally complicated character of the EU Eastern Enlargement heavily influenced the conflict between the legal and economic rationality underlying the construction of the EMR-II. This makes the ERM-II vulnerable to currency crises and creates conditions for a widespread currency and asset substitution in the accession countries. As a result, the required participation of all accession countries in the ERM-II imposes unnecessary costs on the whole enlargement process. The costs could be avoided if the EU adopted a more flexible approach to the enlargement of its monetary union, allowing for an individual path of adopting the euro in each accession country depending on the country's economic conditions.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: EU enlargement; Monetary integration; Currency crisis; Asset substitution; Financial Economics; F32; F33; F36.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/26309
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Nominal Debt and the Dynamics of Currency Crises AgEcon
Corsetti, Giancarlo; MacKowiak, Bartosz.
We study the interaction of fiscal and monetary policies during a currency crisis in an economy with government nominal liabilities. We show that the stock and maturity of these liabilities are key determinants of the magnitude, timing and predictability of a devaluation. Among notable features of our model, monetary authorities defend the currency parity conditional on the level of the interest rate, rather than on the stock of international reserves; budget deficits need not be high before a currency crisis; postdevaluation inflation may exhibit little persistence, and money demand need not fall after the crisis.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Currency crisis; Speculative attacks; Fiscal policy; Financial Economics; F31; F33; E58.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28516
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